RADIO HANGING ON IN-CAR FOR DEAR LIFE: Last week Edison Research rolled out a new batch of audio data in its Definitive Guide To Audio Report, as highlighted in the attached RAIN link. The findings are in line with most other audio research from the past few years around the general migration of music listening from AM/FM and Downloads to Streaming. However, there was one interesting new data cut around in-car listening that’s worth noting. To set this stat up consider the fact that in-car has long been considered the last bastion of broadcast radio’s monopoly over audio consumption. The reasoning is simple – it takes OEMs longer to install apps and wifi connectivity in new car models, so AM/FM Radio’s position in your car’s center stack has remained stable. But things are starting to change. As you can see in the graphic below, the newer the car is the more likely streaming audio listening will replace AM/FM. It’s inevitable that this trend will continue until Radio is just one of many ways to deliver music in-car. And when that happens the broadcasters’ last stronghold will crumble.
APPLE’S COOKIE BLOCKING – ONE MONTH IN: You may recall last month Apple implemented a block on its Safari browser to only allow cookie tracking over a 24 hour window. This means publishers and networks who rely in cookie data to behaviorally retarget ads got a severe haircut on the amount of targeted inventory they have to sell because any data more than a day old is now lost. Now that we’re a month in to this change publishers are starting to see to the inventory, pricing and yield impact, as noted in the attached Digiday link. Not surprisingly, yield from ads run through Safari is down – about 10% by most estimates. This is due to the fact that networks have lost the ability to layer on behavioral data at a premium, which relegates more impressions on Safari to cheaper non-targeted ads. Fortunately for publishers Safari is a relatively small player in the browser space. The “sum of all fears” scenario for publishers and networks would be if one of the big boys, like Google Chrome for example, instituted the same behavioral blocks as Apple. More to come on this, I’m sure.
GLOBAL AD REV SURGES THANKS TO MOBILE: Yesterday there were a pair of long-term ad revenue forecasts released. The first was from eMarketer who charted out global ad revenue growth over the next several years. The numbers are strong – with an estimated 7% CAGR worldwide, and about 5% in North America, from now through 2022. (The NA growth is slower because it’s a more mature digital market.) In the second forecast Zenith calls for Mobile usage and ad revenue to continue its rampage. According to Zenith, by 2019 Mobile will account for 76% of time spent online, and 62% of all the digital ad revenue. As noted in the attached Inside Radio link, if you put these two data sets together you can see a clear picture of Mobile as the growth engine for global ad revenue over the next several years. And to think just five years ago we were all patiently waiting for the “Year of Mobile” to happen. Now it’s Mobile’s world, and we’re just living in it!
Have a great Tuesday guys!